Synthetic populations that behave like real people
Four open-source projects, one coherent stack: a psychographic framework, a simulation engine, a public falsifiable forecast, and the infrastructure that makes the whole thing economical at scale. Each piece is independently usable. Together they close the loop.
Eight-dimension psychographic framework with two new digital-age dimensions (Acuity, Impulsivity). Six map cleanly to Big Five and HEXACO. Published as an open specification.
Self-hosted synthetic consumer panels. 1,000 personas in 30 seconds, fully local on a single GPU. Each persona has a DYNAMICS-8 score, life history, and census-weighted demographics across 20 countries.
Pre-registered, hash-verified UK election predictions. SHA-256 committed to GitHub before voting opened. 136 councils, 65,000 personas. The first public test of the synthetic-panel methodology.
OpenAI-compatible LLM proxy in Go. Cost-routes across local + cloud, compresses prompts with pgvector RAG, and wraps the actual claude CLI as an OpenAI endpoint. The infrastructure that makes 65,000 simulated personas economical.
Memory + search + cross-session coordination MCP for autonomous agents. Hybrid ranking over Postgres + pgvector + Ollama: 50% cosine (nomic-embed-text 768-dim) + 30% tsvector + 20% recency. 22 endpoints, ~650 memos indexed, MCP-native, self-hosted. Replaces token-soaked context preloads with on-demand retrieval.
Router + Fabric, composed. One infrastructure layer, two independent products. Install one. Install both. Set fabric_url: in Router and the RAG pre-stage starts reading from the same Postgres-backed memo store your agent fleet writes to. One backup, one upgrade path, capability-typed task queue lands in Fabric v0.6.
Open datasets, the Zenodo preprint, the persona explorer demo, and the cognitive-simulation architecture. 1,000 sample personas (UK + US), 20-country census-weighted generation methodology, FAISS-backed explorer.
Every Kronaxis prediction, hashed before the event, scored after. Public, append-only, with misses reported alongside hits. The foundational artefact for trust through falsifiability across every Kronaxis product.
Milestones
BBC PNS spot: lowest mean absolute error in the field
On the BBC's official Projected National Share for the 7 May 2026 English local elections, KPM-1 had the lowest mean absolute error of any model in the field. Pre-registered with a SHA-256 hash before voting opened.
KPM-1 predictions hash-committed
Pre-registered predictions for 136 UK local councils committed to GitHub on 1 May 2026, before voting opened. SHA-256 hash public for falsifiability.
Zenodo preprint published
DYNAMICS-8 framework paper. DOI 10.5281/zenodo.19361059. 12,654 words, 10/10 validation hypotheses confirmed at Bonferroni-corrected significance.
Company incorporated, four UK patents filed
Kronaxis Limited (15072850), registered in England and Wales. Four UK patent applications filed at UKIPO covering autonomous GUI interaction, security evaluation, consumer behaviour simulation, and device environment simulation. 91 claims total.
20-country persona generation
Dedicated country builders for 20 countries across six cultural regions. Local-language occupation titles, education terms, regional ethnic compositions, and culturally grounded life histories. 10,000+ generated census-weighted skeletons.
DYNAMICS-8 specification + Panel Studio released
Formal specification under CC BY 4.0; Panel Studio source-available under BSL 1.1 with 500 seed personas and a local response engine.
How our licences work
| Release | Licence | Commercial use |
|---|---|---|
| Kronaxis Panel Studio | BSL 1.1 | Non-commercial use free. Any commercial use requires enterprise licence. Converts to Apache 2.0 within 5 years. |
| Kronaxis Router | BSL 1.1 | Source available. Non-commercial use free. Commercial production use requires an enterprise licence. Converts to Apache 2.0 on 9 May 2031. |
| Kronaxis Fabric | BSL 1.1 | Source available. Non-commercial use free. Commercial production use requires an enterprise licence. Converts to Apache 2.0 on 25 May 2031. |
| DYNAMICS-8 Specification | CC BY 4.0 | Free for any use with attribution. |
| Persona Datasets | CC BY-NC 4.0 | Non-commercial free. Commercial use requires data supply agreement. |
| Reasoning Traces | Commercial | Proprietary training data. Available via Panel Studio API under commercial licence. |
| KPM-1 (model) | Proprietary | Predictions and SHA-256 hash are public for verification; the model itself is closed. |
Enterprise licences include priority support, managed cloud deployment, premium persona datasets across multiple countries, and advanced cognitive features. Contact us for pricing.